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Season Predictions

2023 NFL predictions, midseason edition: Picks to win MVP, DPOY and other awards at 'NFL Honors'

With the 2023 NFL season at its midpoint, NFL.com's analysts update their predictions on who they think will win some of the league's most prestigious individual awards at NFL Honors, specifically:

NOTES:

  1. All betting odds listed below -- courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook -- are current as of 10:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Nov. 8.
  2. Odds for Comeback Player of the Year were not available at publishing.

MOST VALUABLE PLAYER

Rank
1
Lamar Jackson
Baltimore Ravens · QB · +400

(10 votes: Abdoo, Battista, Chadiha, Edholm, Frazier, Grant, Jones-Drew, Patra, Reuter, Ross.)


T-2) Jalen Hurts (+400) | 7 votes: Blair, Florio, Gonzales, Magdziuk, Mariucci, Okada, Walker.

T-2)  Patrick Mahomes (+260) | 7 votes: Band, Carr, Cersosimo, Filice, Holzman-Escareno, Sessler, Zierlein.

4) Joe Burrow (+750) | 2 votes: Kownack, Parr.

5) Tua Tagovailoa (+550) | 1 vote: Shook.


Why Eric Edholm chose Lamar Jackson: It's a down year overall for quarterbacks statistically, which leads me to believe voters will consider a more abstract factor: just how much stress Jackson puts on defenses. Doing that consistently against one of the league's more brutal schedules would earn my vote.


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OFFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR

Rank
1
Tyreek Hill
Miami Dolphins · WR · +125

(13 votes: Abdoo, Band, Battista, Cersosimo, Chadiha, Florio, Gonzales, Grant, Holzman-Escareno, Reuter, Ross, Shook, Zierlein.)


2) Christian McCaffrey (+145) | 8 votes: Blair, Filice, Magdziuk, Mariucci, Okada, Parr, Patra, Walker.

3) A.J. Brown (+500) | 3 votes: Carr, Edholm, Kownack.

4) Jalen Hurts (+3500) | 2 votes: Jones-Drew, Sessler.

5) Lamar Jackson (+3000) | 1 vote: Frazier.


Why Marc Ross chose Tyreek Hill: I went back and forth between Hill and A.J. Brown, but ultimately, Hill’s impact on the Dolphins’ offense is on a level of its own. No other non-quarterback changes an offense and how opposing defenses game plan like Hill. He’s also on a historic pace, having racked up 1,000 receiving yards before the calendar even flipped to November. 


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DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR

Rank
1
Myles Garrett
Cleveland Browns · DE · +200

(16 votes: Abdoo, Battista, Blair, Carr, Chadiha, Edholm, Florio, Frazier, Gonzales, Grant, Kownack, Okada, Reuter, Ross, Sessler, Shook.)


2) Micah Parsons (+180) | 6 votes: Band, Filice, Holzman-Escareno, Mariucci, Parr, Patra.

3) T.J. Watt (+220) | 5 votes: Cersosimo, Jones-Drew, Magdziuk, Walker, Zierlein.


Why Judy Battista chose Myles Garrett: Garrett has 9.5 sacks and four forced fumbles, and he has been the most consistently disruptive pass rusher in the league this season, with bonus points for leaping over the line to block a field goal. He is a true game wrecker, and the overall improvement of the Browns' defense should also help boost Garrett's candidacy.


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OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR

Rank
1
C.J. Stroud
Houston Texans · QB · -800

(25 votes: Abdoo, Band, Battista, Blair, Carr, Cersosimo, Chadiha, Edholm, Filice, Florio, Frazier, Gonzales, Grant, Holzman-Escareno, Kownack, Magdziuk, Mariucci, Okada, Parr, Patra, Ross, Sessler, Shook, Walker, Zierlein.)


2) Puka Nacua (+700) | 2 votes: Jones-Drew, Reuter.


Why David Carr chose C.J. Stroud: The No. 2 overall pick faced an uphill battle as a rookie in a Texans organization in rebuild mode, but he has matured quickly behind a rock-solid offensive line. Stroud’s pocket poise, arm talent and athleticism are on display each time he takes the field, keeping Houston (4-4) in the thick of the AFC South race. Oh, and he’s absolutely delivered in big moments (SEE: game-winning TD vs. Tampa). It feels as though he’s setting records by the week (his one INT through eight games is unheard of for a rookie), proving the Texans have found their franchise quarterback. He’s the real deal.


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DEFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR

Rank
1
Jalen Carter
Philadelphia Eagles · DT · -300

(18 votes: Abdoo, Band, Battista, Blair, Cersosimo, Chadiha, Edholm, Frazier, Jones-Drew, Kownack, Magdziuk, Parr, Reuter, Ross, Sessler, Shook, Walker, Zierlein.)


2) Devon Witherspoon (+240) | 7 votes: Florio, Gonzales, Grant, Holzman-Escareno, Mariucci, Okada, Patra.

T-3) Will Anderson Jr. (+900) | 1 vote: Carr.

T-3) Brian Branch (+1200) | 1 vote: Filice.


Why Mike Band chose Jalen Carter: It did not take long for Carter to establish himself as a game wrecker at the pro level. Through nine weeks, the No. 9 overall pick has generated 31 pressures, per Next Gen Stats, nearly twice as many as the next-closest rookie defensive tackle (Bryan Bresee, 17).


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COMEBACK PLAYER OF THE YEAR

Rank
1
Damar Hamlin
Buffalo Bills · S

(17 votes: Abdoo, Band, Battista, Cersosimo, Edholm, Florio, Frazier, Jones-Drew, Kownack, Okada, Parr, Patra, Ross, Sessler, Shook, Walker, Zierlein.)


2) Tua Tagovailoa | 5 votes: Chadiha, Gonzales, Holzman-Escareno, Mariucci, Reuter.

T-3) Breece Hall | 2 votes: Carr, Grant.

T-3) Lamar Jackson | 2 votes: Blair, Filice.

5) Joshua Dobbs | 1 vote: Magdziuk.


Why Brendan Walker chose Damar Hamlin: Hamlin's return to football is nothing short of a miracle. After suffering a cardiac arrest in the middle of a Monday Night Football contest last season, he worked his way back to the field and was activated for his first game in Week 4. What a comeback story for a truly inspiring Comeback Player of the Year candidate.


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COACH OF THE YEAR

Rank
1
Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell watches from the sideline during first half of an NFL preseason football game against the Indianapolis Colts in Indianapolis, Saturday, Aug. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
Dan Campbell
Detroit Lions · +160

(16 votes: Battista, Blair, Chadiha, Edholm, Filice, Florio, Holzman-Escareno, Kownack, Magdziuk, Mariucci, Okada, Parr, Patra, Reuter, Shook, Zierlein.)


2) Mike McDaniel (+375) | 4 votes: Band, Gonzales, Grant, Sessler.

T-3) John Harbaugh (+1200) | 2 votes: Abdoo, Ross.

T-3) Doug Pederson (+2000) | 2 votes: Jones-Drew, Walker.

T-3) Robert Saleh (+1000) | 2 votes: Cersosimo, Frazier.

6) DeMeco Ryans (+550) | 1 vote: Carr.


Why Jeffri Chadiha chose Dan Campbell: It's been seven years since the Lions made the postseason and 30 since they won a division title. They're in position to do both because Campbell has crafted a team in his own image: physical, tough and willing to do whatever it takes to win.


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EACH ANALYST'S BALLOT

Table inside Article
AnalystMVPOPOYDPOYOROYDROYComebackCoach
Keegan AbdooLamar JacksonTyreek HillMyles GarrettC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinJohn Harbaugh
Mike BandPatrick MahomesTyreek HillMicah ParsonsC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinMike McDaniel
Judy BattistaLamar JacksonTyreek HillMyles GarrettC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinDan Campbell
Tom BlairJalen HurtsChristian McCaffreyMyles GarrettC.J. StroudJalen CarterLamar JacksonDan Campbell
David CarrPatrick MahomesA.J. BrownMyles GarrettC.J. StroudWill Anderson Jr.Breece HallDeMeco Ryans
Brooke CersosimoPatrick MahomesTyreek HillT.J. WattC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinRobert Saleh
Jeffri ChadihaLamar JacksonTyreek HillMyles GarrettC.J. StroudJalen CarterTua TagovailoaDan Campbell
Eric EdholmLamar JacksonA.J. BrownMyles GarrettC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinDan Campbell
Gennaro FilicePatrick MahomesChristian McCaffreyMicah ParsonsC.J. StroudBrian BranchLamar JacksonDan Campbell
Michael F. FlorioJalen HurtsTyreek HillMyles GarrettC.J. StroudDevon WitherspoonDamar HamlinDan Campbell
Leslie FrazierLamar JacksonLamar JacksonMyles GarrettC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinRobert Saleh
Christian GonzalesJalen HurtsTyreek HillMyles GarrettC.J. StroudDevon WitherspoonTua TagovailoaMike McDaniel
Marcas GrantLamar JacksonTyreek HillMyles GarrettC.J. StroudDevon WitherspoonBreece HallMike McDaniel
Tony Holzman-EscarenoPatrick MahomesTyreek HillMicah ParsonsC.J. StroudDevon WitherspoonTua TagovailoaDan Campbell
Maurice Jones-DrewLamar JacksonJalen HurtsT.J. WattPuka NacuaJalen CarterDamar HamlinDoug Pederson
Bobby KownackJoe BurrowA.J. BrownMyles GarrettC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinDan Campbell
Michelle MagdziukJalen HurtsChristian McCaffreyT.J. WattC.J. StroudJalen CarterJoshua DobbsDan Campbell
Steve MariucciJalen HurtsChristian McCaffreyMicah ParsonsC.J. StroudDevon WitherspoonTua TagovailoaDan Campbell
Matt OkadaJalen HurtsChristian McCaffreyMyles GarrettC.J. StroudDevon WitherspoonDamar HamlinDan Campbell
Dan ParrJoe BurrowChristian McCaffreyMicah ParsonsC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinDan Campbell
Kevin PatraLamar JacksonChristian McCaffreyMicah ParsonsC.J. StroudDevon WitherspoonDamar HamlinDan Campbell
Chad ReuterLamar JacksonTyreek HillMyles GarrettPuka NacuaJalen CarterTua TagovailoaDan Campbell
Marc RossLamar JacksonTyreek HillMyles GarrettC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinJohn Harbaugh
Marc SesslerPatrick MahomesJalen HurtsMyles GarrettC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinMike McDaniel
Nick ShookTua TagovailoaTyreek HillMyles GarrettC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinDan Campbell
Brendan WalkerJalen HurtsChristian McCaffreyT.J. WattC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinDoug Pederson
Lance ZierleinPatrick MahomesTyreek HillT.J. WattC.J. StroudJalen CarterDamar HamlinDan Campbell

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