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NFL Power Rankings, Week 16: Broncos, Jaguars climb; Packers head in wrong direction

Week 15 had its share of momentous headlines.

Patrick Mahomes and Micah Parsons each suffered season-ending torn ACLs. The Chiefs' campaign went kaput; are the Packers still Super Bowl contenders without Parsons?

The Patriots blew a 21-0 lead at home to the Bills, with Josh Allen perhaps stealing some MVP votes from Drake Maye in the process. The Broncos erased a two-score deficit, moving closer to securing the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

We almost had a grandfather win his first game in five years, but Philip Rivers was upstaged late by Seattle's Jason Myers. That sets up Thursday's whopper: Rams at Seahawks, almost certainly with Davante Adams (hamstring) sidelined, for NFC West supremacy.

NFC South supremacy was fumbled by the Buccaneers on Thursday, then again by the Panthers on Sunday. Someone has to pick it up -- temporarily, at least -- this Sunday in Charlotte.

Double-digit comebacks were all the rage in Week 15, but there were a few blowouts, too, including the Bengals getting shut out with Joe Burrow at QB, something that hadn't happened before.

The Rams remain atop this league hierarchy, but the Broncos' impressive win over Green Bay convinced me to flip them ahead of the less-impressive Seahawks, who must regain their juice quickly. With races tightening, here's how I see the full NFL pecking order, 1-32.

NOTE: Up/down arrows below reflect movement from the Week 15 Power Rankings.

Rank
1
Los Angeles Rams

The Rams were potentially staring at a 10-point halftime deficit to the Lions before cranking it up late in the second quarter and ultimately outsourcing Detroit by a 27-10 count for the remainder of the game. Davante Adams' hamstring injury is concerning, but there's not yet reason to assume he'll miss the postseason, which would be a worthy silver lining. The Rams have officially clinched a playoff berth. Now the focus turns to winning the division and locking up the top seed in the NFC. With a short week before Thursday's game at Seattle, the Rams don't have much time to prepare for their second game against a Seahawks defense that has been stingy most of the season and held Los Angeles to just 249 yards of offense a month ago. And now the Rams will be without Adams this time around. Perhaps L.A.'s rushing attack, which has three TDs in each of the past two games, will be a big part of the solution.

Rank
2
1
Denver Broncos

The Broncos made their case to be considered the best team in the AFC with an impressive comeback win over the Packers, outscoring them 20-3 over the game's final 24 minutes. Bo Nix heated up and finished with one of his better career stat lines (302 yards and four touchdowns through the air), even with a few dropped picks by the Pack. Denver's offensive line held up well, and the penalties didn't get out of hand. On defense, the Broncos were tested on their first five possessions, but Patrick Surtain's interception flipped the game on its head. From that point on, the defense was dominant. Even with the late turnovers on downs, this performance was a muscle-flexer -- and Denver's 11th straight win. What else do you want to see? This is a strong, battle-tested team that can make a deep postseason run.

Rank
3
1
Seattle Seahawks

Since the Seahawks' rout of the Cardinals in Week 10, during which they scored 21 first-quarter points, they've totaled a mere 12 first-quarter points over the last five games. The slow starts have made some of these recent contests tougher than they should have been, including Sunday's nail-biter against the Philip Rivers-led Colts. The offense got it going late with three important field-goal drives, but this attack hasn't quite looked right for a few games now. On Sunday, the run game was as poor as we've seen it all season, and Seattle went 2-for-13 on third down and 0-for-2 in the red zone. Without an incredible day from kicker Jason Myers, the 'Hawks would have lost. This has to change quickly, with the Rams coming to town for a game that likely will determine the fate of the NFC West and could push the winner closer to the NFC's top playoff seed.

Rank
4
2
Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen had just 35 pass yards at halftime, and Buffalo trailed, 24-7, with its division-title dreams seemingly up in smoke. But the Bills rallied with incredible fury, reminding the NFL world just how dangerous they are, especially in a post-Patrick Mahomes playoff environment. The win didn't clinch anything for Buffalo, but it did reinstill the belief that this team is capable of some magic. We can talk about how the Bills looked woefully unprepared for the start of the game, and they were lucky to only be down 17 points at the break, but we can also have a discussion on how beating the Bills requires keeping Allen and James Cook in check for four quarters. The Patriots couldn't do that, and I am not sure how many teams outside of the Texans and Broncos might be capable of that in the AFC field. It's been a strange path, but the Bills are nearly as desperate and dangerous as they've recently been.

Rank
5
1
New England Patriots

The Patriots were 30 game minutes away from the AFC EAST CHAMPIONS hats and T-shirts being ripped out of the boxes, leading 24-7 at the break following a dominant first half against a Bills team they'd already beaten. That's what made Sunday's 35-31 loss so devastating. New England managed just three first downs after halftime, and the defense allowed five straight touchdown drives by the Bills. Drake Maye played a strong, efficient first half, and the pass protection held up remarkably well, but it was a 180-degree turn after halftime. Maye completed just five of his 12 passes for 47 yards with an INT and three sacks after halftime, including only one completion (for 5 yards) on his final seven throws. That hurt Maye's fading MVP chances. And the loss certainly slowed the Patriots' division-title quest and their hopes for the AFC's top seed. The former still feels possible, if not likely, but the latter might have been kissed goodbye. 

Rank
6
1
Chicago Bears

The secret to the Bears' success has been their turnover margin, with Chicago racking up 30 takeaways against just 10 turnovers. No one has taken the ball away from opponents as frequently as the Bears (the Jaguars rank second with 26 swipes), and only the Lions (eight turnovers) have coughed it up fewer times. It was a big factor Sunday, too, with the Bears winning the turnover battle 3-0, allowing them to put the Browns away late after leading just 14-3 six minutes into the second half. There were other positive developments, with Caleb Williams playing well against a good Browns defense and DJ Moore and Luther Burden III stepping up after Rome Odunze was a late scratch following pregame warmups. That showed a level of focus and mental toughness for a team that is rounding into postseason form -- one that also finds itself back in the NFC North lead after Green Bay's loss in Denver.

Rank
7
2
Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars have ripped off five straight wins, and they did so emphatically on Sunday by building a 31-10 halftime lead and continuing to pour it on in the second half against the helpless Jets. Trevor Lawrence engineered his finest statistical outing ever, accounting for six touchdowns himself and leading only three empty drives all game. Lawrence got hot in the latter half of the 2022 season to lead the Jags into the playoffs, and he’s on a similar heater now. This coming Sunday’s matchup against an even hotter Broncos team should provide Jacksonville the kind of playoff-caliber matchup it needs, and these two teams could meet again in January, for all we know.

Rank
8
San Francisco 49ers

On Kyle Shanahan's 46th birthday, Brock Purdy gifted his coach a pretty terrific performance, even with a lost fumble that the Titans swiftly converted into a touchdown. Ricky Pearsall reemerged with a big game, which was a positive development with the playoffs looming, while George Kittle and Jauan Jennings both stepped up with good outings, as well. It's concerning that the defense couldn't sack the Titans -- one of the worst pass-protecting teams in the league -- and dropped a few potential interceptions that helped make the game appear closer than it was for most of Sunday. The defensive concerns are the biggest ones for a Niners team that inched closer to the postseason. There's still a slim path to taking the NFC West -- and even the top seed in the conference -- but the defensive limitations could prevent that from happening.

Rank
9
4
Green Bay Packers

It was a season-changing loss in Denver, with Micah Parsons suffering a torn ACL and Christian Watson, Zach Tom, Quay Walker and Evan Williams all getting hurt, as well. The Packers were in control, up 23-14 in the third quarter, but Jordan Love underthrew a deep ball to Watson (the play in which the receiver got hurt), and everything turned in Denver's direction. Parsons is obviously the biggest blow; losing his pass-rush juice just takes a lot of the teeth out of this defense. It's still a capable unit without him, but it's fair to ask if Green Bay is capable of making a Super Bowl run now. The loss knocked the Packers out of the NFC North lead, handing it back to the Bears and shifting Green Bay into the final playoff slot for now. It's tough to understate how damaging this game was, even with the Pack having a chance to sweep the Bears this Saturday.

Rank
10
1
Houston Texans

The win streak sits at six, the playoffs are nearly a certainty, and the offense is showing signs of growth. Ringing up 40 points is always welcome, as C.J. Stroud and a surprisingly productive run game had their way with Arizona on Sunday. But another highly encouraging development has been the reduction of turnovers, with only one in the Texans' past five games combined. Giveaways cost them a few early-season losses, but they haven't been an issue for months now. The defense didn't have a flawless game by its sterling standards, but it was a solid effort that allowed Houston to build a 23-point lead. The Raiders could be another tune-up for the final two games, at the Chargers and home against the Colts, which could ultimately decide whether the Texans are a wild-card team or your AFC South champs.

Rank
11
1
Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers have won three straight games, and they’ve beaten last season’s Super Bowl teams in back-to-back thrillers. You can thank the defense for both, coming up with critical late interceptions in the red zone to finish them off. On Sunday, it was Derwin James’ INT of Gardner Minshew with 20 seconds left, after Patrick Mahomes suffered a season-ending torn ACL. The significance of this win can’t be understated, officially ending the Chiefs’ dynastic run at Arrowhead, and the way the defense is playing now makes the Chargers look like legitimate contenders. That said, the shorthanded offense hasn’t carried its share of the weight lately, with Justin Herbert throwing his 12th interception of the season -- marking his fourth straight game with a pick. The division race mathematically remains up for grabs, and Herbert must be smarter with the ball down the stretch.

Rank
12
1
Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles needed a tension-breaker game, and they got exactly that. Beating the Raiders won’t tell us whether the offense is truly fixed or if Philadelphia is suddenly any more playoff-ready, making this result comparable to the 2023 Eagles’ December win over a bad Giants team. Then again, just imagine if Philly had not had its way with an even worse Las Vegas outfit. Jalen Hurts followed his five-turnover game against the Chargers with a clean, crisp performance Sunday, and that was a positive sign. The red-zone package was a little more inspired, too, and the defense turned in a near-perfect showing, even accounting for how challenged the Raiders are offensively. The Eagles will take this and try to build on it, with Sunday's game against the 4-10 Commanders presenting a similar assignment.

Rank
13
1
Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers dawdled around for much of the first half, unable to convert a third down to save their lives, but they flipped the switch just before halftime, logging the first of four straight touchdown drives in a dominant heel turn against the Dolphins. The run game started cooking in the second half, and Aaron Rodgers had a good night distributing the ball around. DK Metcalf scored his first TD since Week 8, and Jaylen Warren had an all-around strong night. Losing LG Isaac Seumalo for would be a blow, but LT Dylan Cook stood tall in . The AFC North still likely hinges on the Week 18 game against the Ravens, assuming Baltimore keeps winning, but the Steelers maintained their one-game lead, with a still-tough assignment on tap this Sunday at Detroit. 

Rank
14
4
Detroit Lions

Another loss has put Detroit in a deeper hole, with the playoff hopes sliding even farther away. The Lions can get in, and winning the final three would give them a great chance of doing so. That would miraculously give Detroit 11 victories against a very tough schedule. But even as explosive as the Lions were at times against the Rams, Jahmyr Gibbs was bottled up, the pass protection became leaky and the defense allowed a season-worst 41 points. I'm not going to throw dirt on Detroit's grave because I haven't even dug the hole yet, although I admit I have the shovels oiled up and ready to go. Losing Brian Branch this late in the season was a huge blow to the defense, and I don't know if the unit can make it through these final three games unscathed without him.

Rank
15
1
Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson took four sacks, and Baltimore's offense scored just 17 points, but it was arguably the team's most complete performance since before Jackson got hurt. The Ravens were outstanding defensively, with Kyle Van Noy's INT and Alohi Gilman's TD return the cherry on top. They kept the Bengals from getting into any kind of rhythm, achieving that classic Baltimorean balance they've always sought. And most importantly, Jackson looked like Lamar Jackson; inherently, Baltimore looked like a playoff team. The Ravens' postseason chances likely will hinge on the Week 18 showdown with the Steelers, but the Ravens have two tough games before that. Don't snooze on them just yet. They can heat up in a hurry.

Rank
16
1
Indianapolis Colts

The movie script was writing itself in real time, with grandpa Philip Rivers helping the Colts take a final-minute lead in a game no one even imagined him playing just a few weeks ago. But the Seahawks were not about to let the feel-good story come to fruition on Sunday, as Seattle topped Indianapolis with a long field goal to win it. Still, all things considered, Rivers was pretty impressive, and he gave the Colts what they wanted: a shot at winning in a tough environment. The playoff dream isn't dead, and winning the final three against the 49ers, Jaguars and Texans would give Indy an excellent shot, even if that's asking quite a bit. Rivers deserves to play out the string, and his toughness deserves to be rewarded, yet the odds are very much stacked against the Colts.

Rank
17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers walked off the field at Raymond James Stadium last Thursday with some seriously bad vibes, having blown a 14-point, fourth-quarter lead in a 29-28 loss to the Falcons. Baker Mayfield threw a careless interception, and Atlanta overcame third-and-28 and fourth-and-14 on its final drive before ultimately nailing the game-winning field goal. Yet somehow, the Bucs came out of the weekend -- thanks to New Orleans finishing a season sweep of Carolina -- in a remarkably similar position to how they started it: in first place, with a ton of questions. Whom do you trust more at this point, the Bucs or Panthers? The division comes down to the teams' two head-to-head games over the next three Sundays, with this week's showdown taking place in Charlotte. Can Mike Evans help Tampa regain a little of its early-season magic? The offense needs to step up with the defense seemingly in tatters. 

Rank
18
Carolina Panthers

After watching the Buccaneers blow a 14-point lead on Thursday, shifting all the momentum in Carolina’s direction for the NFC South, the Panthers coughed up that advantage in a frustrating loss at New Orleans. The Panthers have now been swept by the Saints, and they’ll have to take care of business in the Week 16 game against the Bucs with less wiggle room. Bryce Young made some big throws to give Carolina a 17-7 lead early in the third quarter, but the Panthers came up empty on their next three drives, with a turnover on downs and two quick punts. Every time it feels like Young is ready to elevate his game with back-to-back performances, he and his team are seemingly unable to do so. With 11 penalties and late defensive breakdowns, the Panthers didn’t play playoff-caliber football in any facet on Sunday.

Rank
19
Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys haven't officially been eliminated from postseason play, but practically speaking, Sunday night's home loss to Minnesota essentially marked the end of all realistic hope. The 'Boys almost certainly needed to pull an inside straight over their final four games, but it was disappointing to see the defense suffer through another long game and the offense come up short in key situations against the Vikings. Can't really blame this one on Dak Prescott, as the pressure was immense, and George Pickens was held in check once more. Prescott has been very good for most of this season, and he was fine on Sunday, but he wasn't good enough to overcome Dallas' collective issues elsewhere. Brian Schottenheimer's first season brought some fight after the bye, but the Cowboys now find themselves in a real battle just to finish .500 or better.

Rank
20
Kansas City Chiefs

In a shocking double blow, the Chiefs were officially eliminated from postseason contention and Patrick Mahomes suffered a season-ending torn ACL, which likely will affect his offseason outlook and timetable, as well. There might be a tangible argument that the Chiefs finding a way into this season's playoffs could have given them a false sense of security in the system and that, as it’s been for most of the past decade, things are gonna be OK. I’m not going to buy that, and it’s hard to put a positive light on Mahomes’ injury. I also don’t think major offseason changes are guaranteed, but one way or another, Kansas City must boost the pass rush, add some RB punch and figure out how best to get the most from this QB and these receivers.

Rank
21
1
Minnesota Vikings

After scoring only 42 total points in Weeks 10-13, the Vikings have now put up back-to-back outings with 31 or more on the scoreboard, led by a resurgent J.J. McCarthy. Following his interception on the second snap of Sunday's win, McCarthy was pretty dialed in, resilient and effective, even if his shoddy connection with Justin Jefferson remains a major point of confoundment. They just haven’t been on the same page most of the season, and Sunday was similar. Jefferson is Minnesota's star receiver. McCarthy likely remains the quarterback of the foreseeable future. At some point, these two must become more simpatico. Credit to McCarthy for finding other ways to get it done the past two weeks, but the Vikings can’t win games this way forever.

Rank
22
1
Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins came in as a hot team, having won four straight while allowing a total of 53 points in that span, and they held the Steelers down for a half on Monday. But the cold weather has historically been unkind to the Dolphins, and they froze up in the third quarter, netting minus-20 yards. Never good to gain fewer yards in a quarter than there are degrees on a cold night, and the Dolphins fell below that threshold with ease. Even with a little fourth-quarter flurry, they came up multiple scores short. The loss ended Miami's playoff hopes and dropped Tua Tagovailoa's record to 0-6 in games where the kickoff temperature is below 40 degrees (including playoffs). He also leads the league this season in interceptions with 15 and was sacked four times, bringing him to a career-worst 30 with three games left. A big offseason awaits the Dolphins, and even in light of the recent run, this game reflected poorly on everyone.

Rank
23
Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow shredded the Ravens on Thanksgiving and, for most of the game anyway, the Bills in Week 14. But, after Burrow said he wanted to enjoy what he could of the remainder of a lost season, he and the Bengals' offense had a horrid day at the office on Sunday. Burrow's pick-six was the official death knell against Baltimore, although a three-score comeback didn't exactly feel imminent the play prior. Cincinnati's receivers certainly didn't do Burrow any favors, but he also struggled. The NFL is more fun when Burrow is dealing, so whatever funk he's in, I can't wait until it's over. The Bengals' defense played pretty well, all things considered, and kept the game close. But not well enough to overcome a shutout, something I didn't think was possible with this group, even without Tee Higgins (concussion).

Rank
24
Atlanta Falcons

It was a big night last Thursday for Kyle Pitts and Kirk Cousins, whose strong performances might change their offseason opportunities for the better. Pitts, an impending free agent, could have an extremely healthy market for his services if the Falcons can't keep him. Cousins has less freedom, but he at least sent a message that he can still play a little, bouncing back from a tough game against the Seahawks. The dramatic win was also a sad reminder of what could have been for this team in terms of offensive prowess, but the shocking number of mistakes Atlanta made reflected this squad's lack of discipline.

Rank
25
New Orleans Saints

Tyler Shough left the injury tent and got the ball back with 4:37 remaining against the Panthers, down 17-10, and immediately hit on seven of his eight passes, each for 9 yards or more. Shough hit Chris Olave for the game-tying TD, and New Orleans' defense got a stop. It didn’t feel likely, but Shough did enough to move the Saints from their own 9-yard line into field-goal range for the game-winning kick as time expired. Shough has shown promise in each of his six starts, but the way he finished this one has to have some Saints fans hoping the team bypasses a quarterback in the next draft. It was a gutsy performance, and it was finished by another new hero, kicker Charlie Smyth of Northern Ireland fame. The Saints have won two straight and have a fairly realistic chance of ending the season on a five-game win streak now with games against the Jets, Titans and Falcons upcoming.

Rank
26
Washington Commanders

Dan Quinn will take the draft-pick dip after Sunday’s win, which ended an eight-game losing streak that no one thought was in the realm of possibilities when this season started. The Commanders were beginning to look like a wayward franchise, and that sort of thing can leak into the locker room, but they took control against the Giants and held on late for a confidence-boosting win. Two lost fumbles in the final six minutes don’t reflect well, but the Giants made sure to make even more mistakes down the stretch. The Commanders did better defensively than in some recent games, but it was the special teams (even with a missed extra point) that helped deliver the win even more.

Rank
27
Arizona Cardinals

Thank the maker for Trey McBride. He's arguably the league's best tight end right now, and even with the Cardinals in one of their darkest stretches, he remains a joy to watch. Now, sadly, we must talk business, and the Cards are a mess right now. They've been decimated by injuries, especially on offense, but the defense has taken a turn for the worse, and that's why they've lost six straight and have only one win since Week 2. McBride should be the centerpiece offensively, but it's a pretty good bet this team is going to look vastly different next season. There are questions surrounding Kyler Murray and the coaching staff, and Arizona has two dozen impending free agents, so prepare for some new faces.

Rank
28
1
Cleveland Browns

Two things I'll be tracking in the Browns' final three games: whether Myles Garrett can break the sack record and whether they can win another game. If we take owner Jimmy Haslam at his word from back in July, once again going The Browns sit at 3-11, with the Bills and Steelers coming to Cleveland in the next two weeks before the regular-season finale at Cincinnati. The entire franchise feels like it's again at a flashpoint, with Shedeur Sanders taking a step back on Sunday against the Bears, throwing three interceptions (even if one wasn't his fault). Kevin Stefanski might be a two-time Coach of the Year, but the wind is blowing pretty stiffly in his (and his team's) face right now.

Rank
29
1
New York Jets

The Jets have fired defensive coordinator Steve Wilks, making him the scapegoat for a unit that has predictably fallen apart since trading away major resources at the deadline. That’s now 14 straight games without an interception, which feels nigh impossible. It also hasn’t helped that they’re hamstrung offensively with undrafted rookie Brady Cook at QB and Garrett Wilson not playing. But Cook could have been Joe Namath Jr. on Sunday, and the Jets still wouldn’t have won. They trailed the Jags 14-0 nine minutes in, and that was all she wrote. Cook started hot in his first NFL start before throwing three picks, including one in the end zone for a second straight game. The Jets probably will give him another shot because it wasn’t even the team’s worst QB outing of the season and, well, who else do they have there?

Rank
30
New York Giants

Interim coach Mike Kafka is now 0-4, and the Giants have dropped eight straight games since the season high point of crushing the Eagles back in Week 6. Everything has pointed downward since then, and it’s raising questions of just how many major changes might come from it, even after Brian Daboll was already let go. Sure, if you look hard enough, there were some mild positives Sunday, with a nice run game and Abdul Carter finally showing something significant, but the Giants fell behind at home to the Commanders a little more than five minutes in and never even got back to a tie game. They’re now 5-26 since the start of last season and need a major change in vision going forward.

Rank
31
Tennessee Titans

Even with many positive flashes for Cam Ward during a trying rookie season, he's also made his share of mistakes. On Sunday, he had opportunities to make plays at times but didn't, and he still has a ways to go to be an effective starting quarterback in the NFL. Ward was not sacked in a game for the first time all season and wasn't under heavy duress against the 49ers -- and yet, he still missed some open receivers and threw two passes that should have been picked off. Even if Ward hits on some of those plays, the Titans are not a good enough operation right now to beat quality teams very often, with the defense suffering through another long day at the office in Santa Clara.

Rank
32
Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas now owns a pair of 31-zip losses this season in which the offense failed to reach 100 total yards and the defense allowed more than 350. Not many teams can claim this, so the 2025 Raiders certainly have put themselves in rare air indeed. They’ve lost eight straight games and eight total this season by double-digit points. Sunday was also the ninth time they’ve failed to top the 17-point mark in what has been an of a season in Pete Carroll’s first year. Will he get a second? Does he even want another crack at fixing this? Even with a few clear building blocks, this looks like a massive reconstruction that will require time and patience, and with Carroll at 74, it’s fair to wonder if the coach has the gumption for that -- or even the opportunity, depending on what management decides in a few weeks.

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